Oscar Predictions

Here are the 2024 Oscar Predictions from the NBP staff! Ranking is updated in real-time, and is constantly changing until the end of the year. Accuracy will be calculated after the winners are announced at The 97th Annual Academy Awards.

Click each heading to view individual staff rankings, or search/sort by the drop-downs below:

Best Picture

RankPicture
1ANORA
2CONCLAVE
3THE BRUTALIST
4WICKED
5EMILIA PÉREZ
6A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
7THE SUBSTANCE
8I'M STILL HERE
9DUNE: PART TWO
10NICKEL BOYS


 
 

Best Director

RankPicture
1Sean Baker (ANORA)
2Brady Corbet (THE BRUTALIST)
3Jacques Audiard (EMILIA PÉREZ)
4Coralie Fargeat (THE SUBSTANCE)
5James Mangold (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN)


 
 

Best Actress

RankPicture
1Demi Moore (THE SUBSTANCE)
2Mikey Madison (ANORA)
3Fernanda Torres (I'M STILL HERE)
4Cynthia Erivo (WICKED)
5Karla Sofía Gascón (EMILIA PÉREZ)


 
 

Best Actor

RankPicture
1Adrien Brody (THE BRUTALIST)
2Timothee Chalamet (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN)
3Ralph Fiennes (CONCLAVE)
4Colman Domingo (SING SING)
5Sebastian Stan (THE APPRENTICE)


 
 

Best Supporting Actress

RankPicture
1Zoe Saldaña (EMILIA PÉREZ)
2Ariana Grande (WICKED)
3Isabella Rossellini (CONCLAVE)
4Felicity Jones (THE BRUTALIST)
5Monica Barbaro (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN)


 
 

Best Supporting Actor

RankPicture
1Kieran Culkin (A REAL PAIN)
2Edward Norton (A COMPLETE UNKNOWN)
3Guy Pearce (THE BRUTALIST)
4Yura Borisov (ANORA)
5Jeremy Strong (THE APPRENTICE)


 
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

RankPicture
1CONCLAVE (Peter Straughan)
2NICKEL BOYS (RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes)
3A COMPLETE UNKNOWN (Jay Cocks, James Mangold)
4EMILIA PÉREZ (Jacques Audiard, Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius, Nicolas Livecchi)
5SING SING (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence "Divine Eye" Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield)


 
 

Best Original Screenplay

RankPicture
1THE SUBSTANCE (Coralie Fargeat)
2ANORA (Sean Baker)
3A REAL PAIN (Jesse Eisenberg)
4THE BRUTALIST (Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold)
5SEPTEMBER 5 (Tim Fehlbaum, Moritz Binder, Alex David)


 
 

Best Animated Feature

RankPicture
1THE WILD ROBOT
2FLOW
3INSIDE OUT 2
4WALLACE & GROMIT: VENGEANCE MOST FOWL
5MEMOIR OF A SNAIL


 
 

Best Documentary Feature

RankPicture
1NO OTHER LAND
2PORCELAIN WAR
3BLACK BOX DIARIES
4SUGARCANE
5SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D'ÉTAT


 
 

Best International Feature

RankPicture
1EMILIA PÉREZ (France)
2I'M STILL HERE (Brazil)
3THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG (Germany)
4FLOW (Latvia)
5THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE (Denmark)


 
 

Best Cinematography

RankPicture
1THE BRUTALIST (Lol Crawley)
2NOSFERATU (Jarin Blaschke)
3EMILIA PÉREZ (Paul Guilhaume)
4DUNE: PART TWO (Greig Fraser)
5MARIA (Edward Lachmann)


 
 

Best Costume Design

RankPicture
1WICKED
2NOSFERATU
3CONCLAVE
4A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
5GLADIATOR II


 
 

Best Film Editing

RankPicture
1CONCLAVE
2ANORA
3EMILIA PÉREZ
4THE BRUTALIST
5WICKED


 
 

Best Original Score

RankPicture
1THE BRUTALIST (Daniel Blumberg)
2CONCLAVE (Volker Bertelmann)
3EMILIA PÉREZ (Clément Ducol, Camille)
4THE WILD ROBOT (Kris Bowers)
5WICKED (John Powell & Stephen Schwartz)


 
 

Best Original Song

RankPicture
1EMILIA PÉREZ ("El Mal")
2EMILIA PÉREZ ("Mi Camino")
3THE SIX TRIPLE EIGHT ("The Journey")
4SING SING ("Like a Bird")
5ELTON JOHN: NEVER TOO LATE ("Never Too Late")


 
 

Best Sound

RankPicture
1DUNE: PART TWO
2WICKED
3A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
4EMILIA PÉREZ
5THE WILD ROBOT


 
 

Best Visual Effects

RankPicture
1DUNE: PART TWO
2WICKED
3KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
4BETTER MAN
5ALIEN: ROMULUS


 
 

Best Animated Short Film

RankPicture
1WANDER TO WONDER
2IN THE SHADOW OF THE CYPRESS
3YUCK!
4BEAUTIFUL MEN
5MAGIC CANDIES


 
 

Best Documentary Short Film

RankPicture
1THE ONLY GIRL IN THE ORCHESTRA
2DEATH BY NUMBERS
3I AM READY, WARDEN
4INCIDENT
5INSTRUMENTS OF A BEATING HEART


 
 

Best Live Action Short Film

RankPicture
1THE MAN WHO COULD NOT REMAIN SILENT
2A LIEN
3ANUJA
4I’M NOT A ROBOT
5THE LAST RANGER